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The AI jobs reckoning is here

Posted on March 2, 2026
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The AI jobs reckoning is here

Jack Dorsey is not the first CEO to say AI will transform work. He may be among the first to act as if it already has — and to say so openly.

“Intelligence tools have changed what it means to build and run a company. We’re already seeing it internally. A significantly smaller team using the tools can do more and do it better,” the Block CEO said in a statement last week.

“I don’t think we’re early to this realisation. I think most companies are late,” he added as he laid out plans to cut over 4 000 jobs, nearly half the company’s workforce, as part of an overhaul to embed artificial intelligence across the fintech’s operations.

Intelligence tools have changed what it means to build and run a company. We’re already seeing it internally

Block shares rose sharply on Friday, underscoring how markets are increasingly rewarding companies that present AI not as an experiment but as a driver of structural change.

Dorsey also delivered a blunt warning to peers: most companies are behind the AI curve and will reach the same conclusion within a year. “I’d rather get there honestly and on our own terms than be forced into it reactively.”

Until now, most executives have resisted those kinds of sweeping conclusions even as their firms pour billions into the technology.

The comments are likely to sharpen a growing debate among executives, economists, investors and policymakers: is AI primarily a tool that helps workers do more — or one that enables companies to do the same with far fewer people?

‘New scapegoat’

AI-linked layoffs have been rising worldwide. According to a Reuters tally, companies have announced more than 61 000 job cuts tied to AI, including Amazon, Pinterest and Australia’s Wisetech since November.

But Block is among the highest-profile companies to cite AI explicitly as the primary driver of its reductions, rather than a secondary efficiency gain.

Some investors argue that automation-related cuts are partly correcting for years of overhiring. “AI is the new scapegoat,” said Brian Jacobsen, chief economic strategist at Annex Wealth Management.

Read: OpenAI secures $840-billion valuation in latest funding round

Still, markets are increasingly uneasy about AI’s potential to upend jobs and profits amid an uncertain global economic backdrop.

A widely circulated report this week by Citrini Research outlined a 2028 scenario in which unemployment rises to 10.2%, driven by rapid displacement of workers in software, logistics and delivery roles.

Block CEO Jack Dorsey. Image via YouTube
Block CEO Jack Dorsey. Image via YouTube

Evidence is emerging that firms are beginning to see returns on their investment. Morgan Stanley analysts said this week there has been a steady rise in the number of companies reporting quantifiable benefits from AI adoption, based on an analysis of more than 10 000 earnings calls and fourth-quarter conference transcripts.

Some 21% of S&P 500 companies mentioned at least one measurable benefit, up from 15% in the third quarter and 10% in the final quarter of 2024. Greater AI use will boost companies’ profit margins by 40 basis points this year, they estimate.

But until now, most executives and policymakers have been more guarded than Dorsey when talking about AI and jobs. “What we are seeing for the moment is that it’s increasing productivity,” European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde told a committee of the European parliament on Thursday. “But we are not yet seeing consequences in terms of labour market and waves of redundancies that are feared, and that you know we will be extremely attentive going forward.”

orsey’s strategy suggests that less is more and that human capital has lost its competitive edge

At the World Economic Forum last month, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said jobs would disappear but new ones would emerge. On Friday, Bank of America global economists Claudio Irigoyen and Antonio Gabriel said AI could ultimately affect a quarter of all jobs.

AI shock, they said, will be disruptive for companies that do not survive and for workers who are displaced, but the economy will be better off because it will create new jobs and business opportunities that were previously prohibitive.

Michael Ashley Schulman, partner and CIO at Running Point Capital Advisors, warned of unintended consequences from drastic steps like Block’s. “Dorsey’s strategy suggests that less is more and that human capital has lost its competitive edge,” he said.

Read: South Africa’s draft AI policy headed to cabinet

“The question is whether the company is resetting to its smaller, nimbler start-up days or whether it might lose the creativity and human intuition that built its most iconic products in the first place.”  — Utkarsh Shetti, Manya Saini, Romolo Tosiani, Philippe Leroy Beaulieu and Francesco Canepa, (c) 2026 Reuters

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